Please enable JavaScript to access the following map views: All map types that you can enable here: Pacific-Ocean Colour Basemap, Greyscale Basemap, Precipitation, Pacific-Ocean Wind, Temperature, Cloud, Pacific-Ocean Significant Ocean Wave Height. Swell holding Sat (5/6) at 2.2 ft @ 16 secs (3.5 ft). On Sat AM (4/29) south winds consolidated at 40 kts with seas 30 ft at 39.5S 147W aimed northeast. NBC News - Climate Change and Surfing: https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/climate-change-good-surfing-other-sports-not-so-much-ncna1017131, Mavericks & Stormsurf on HBO Sports with Bryant Gumbel https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luQSYf5sKjQ, Pieces Featuring Stormsurf:
8. A return to ENSO neutral is expected this summer. Slight As for swell, this low has stayed the course with last week's weather models looking nearly identical to today's, keeping the low meandering about SoCal for a few days, kicking up wind swell into the mix (model by NOAA MAG): But there has been some improvement in the forecast as the ground swell portion of the approaching swell will outdo wind swell, with wind swell being about 30-40% in the mix (ground swell 60-70%). This setup looks likely for the rest of the forecast, so the workweek isnt looking favorable conditions wise either. The transition to Summer is finally starting. Residual swell from a small Dateline gale was also fading out in Hawaii (see Tiny North Dateline Gale below). Thursday the 4th looks about waist high everywhere, but with NW ground swell filling in, running up to chest high later in the day at west facing spots. Analysis (TAO Buoys): As of (2/23) 5 day average winds were strong from the east over the Eastern equatorial Pacific and strong east over the Central Pacific and strong east over the KWGA. Symbols shown on the map: Pacific-Ocean Surf Breaks, Tide Forecasts, Cities, Pacific-Ocean Ski Resorts, Live Wave Buoys, Live Webcams, Pacific-Ocean Wind Now, Temperature Now, Weather Now, Pacific-Ocean Swell at breaks, Rating at breaks. The swell pattern will be below normal before Jan and above normal after Jan 23 with the average of the two being 'normal'. The East Shore was thigh high and chopped with moderate east trades. North CA: Expect swell arrival on Mon (5/1) at sunrise holding through the day at 8.8 ft @ 13-14 secs (10 ft) and pretty windblown and mostly shadowed in the SF Bay Area. KWGA/Equatorial Surface Wind Analysis (KWGA - Kelvin Wave Generation Area - The area 5 degrees north and south of the equator from 170W to 135E)
Surf Heights for Hawaii should be consider 'Hawaiian Scale' if period exceeds 14 secs. Sunday the 7th, looks about chest max at south facing breaks and waist high at west facing spots. Late in the weekend a trough of low pressure is expected to approach the region, bringing much cooler temps and increased onshore flow. The area of the region Centre is 39 150,94 km . 218 AM PDT Mon May 1 2023. Please enable JavaScript to access the following map views: All map types that you can enable here: Global-Pacific Colour Base Map, Wave Height, Wave Energy, Global-Pacific Swell 1 Energy, Swell 2 Energy, Windwave Energy, Global-Pacific Precipitation, Wind, Temperature, Global-Pacific Cloud Cover. Which could be a fun morning may turn out a bit choppy. But deep cool waters were along the immediate coast of Peru. There looks like there will be pockets of lighter winds as our local catalina eddy spins up, so near Ventura and LA looks lighter than OC most mornings. Saturday looks clearer and warmer so far. No tropical systems of interest are being monitored at this time.
Easing swells this week | Swellnet But cold water returned in July 2021 and a second pulse of La Nina developed through the Winter of 2022. Water temps appear to be warming over the entire East Pacific, though still in La Nina territory for the moment. Also on Mon PM (2/22) a short lived tiny fetch of north winds produced 20 ft seas 650 nmiles north of Hawaii at 35.5N 159W aimed south. It was down to +6.89 on 7/29. Swell NW 8 ft at 9 seconds. In the evening the gale was fading over the dateline with 25 kt northwest winds and seas fading from 20 ft at 35N 179E aimed southeast. 205 PM PDT Fri Apr 28 2023. During the winter months, north-west swells propagate down from the Pacific with south-west swells dominating for the rest of the year. You are the reason this report exists. Summer - Head high or better. But in late Fall 2022 trades started fading a by early 22023 multiple Kelvin Waves were in flight with significant warming developing over the East Equatorial Pacific. http://www.bloomberg.com/video/how-to-predict-the-best-surfing-waves-EsNiR~0xR5yXGOlOq2MqfA.html
Swell is tracking towards Hawaii. Kuril Island Gale
One positive would be that theyre looking slightly better than the weekend. A gale started developing in the Southwest Pacific on Tues AM (4/18) with 45-50 kt southwest winds and seas building. Previously temps dropped on 11/24 at -1.700, the lowest in months after previously toggling steady at about -0.6 degs from mid Aug to Oct 6, then falling from there. In the evening fetch rebuilt some at 35-45 kts from the south with seas 31 ft at 36.5S 150W aimed north. The 28 deg isotherm line was steady at 179E. 218 AM PDT Mon May 1 2023. On Thurs AM (4/20) south winds were fading from 30+ kts moving to the Southeast Pacific with seas fading from 29 ft at 52.75S 139.5W aimed northeast. Cooler than normal waters were also south of that line down to 20S though losing coverage and intensity. Freezing level for Lake Tahoe is falling from 10,000 ft today forecast falling to 5,000 ft on 5/2 building to 6,700 ft on 5/3 and holding then rising on 5/8 to 10,500 ft on 5/9. WED NIGHT Tuesday the 2nd is expected to run chest to head high at west facing breaks and waist to chest at south facing spots. Career Opportunities, SYNOPSIS FOR THE SOUTHERN OREGON COASTAL WATERS, Surface Currents via High Frequency Radar, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. This means no cool water was at depth. W swell 2 ft at 12 seconds. Swell NW The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a periodic weather cycle that tracks east along the equator circumnavigating the globe. And warmer than normal temps were present well off the coasts of Chile and Peru and building in intensity and weaker over the entirety of the deep South Pacific. Mostly the same story as of late. The gale to dissipate after that. waves 2 ft or less. Oahu: Expect swell arrival on Fri (2/25) building from 5.6 ft @ 18 secs at sunrise (10 ft) to 7.2-7.9 ft @ 17-18 secs late afternoon (13.0 ft). And another gale developed off the Pacific Northwest Sat-Sun (4/30) with 28 ft seas aimed east. The period was dominated by La Nia conditions, which tend to enhance hurricane activity in the . 2023 Snow-Forecast.com | Privacy | Cookie Policy. Waikiki long range surf forecast for swell, wind, tide and weather conditions updated multiple times daily. Swell and S 1 ft in the afternoon. Swell NW 7 to 8 ft at 9 seconds. On Sat AM (4/29) 45 kt northwest winds were building well off the Pacific Northwest with seas 25 ft at 44N 143W aimed southeast. Swell Direction: 296-300 degrees, North Pacific Animations: Jetstream - Surface Pressure/Wind - Sea Height - Surf Height. Fetch fading on Thurs AM (3/3) form 45 kts over the dateline with 38 ft seas at 44.75N 178.5W aimed east. Swell should be angled from around 305-315 with periods 14 seconds from the ground swell and 8-10 seconds from wind swell. Temps rose above the La Nina threshold (-0.5 degs) on 2/22 and had been rising slowly since 2/12 when they were about -1.0 degs C. Then had been in the -1.0 deg range since at least Nov 2022. Summer - Chest to head high. Surface Analysis
Marine weather and forecast conditions 3-10 days into the future. The PDO theoretically turned from a 16 year negative run (Jan 98-Feb 2014) in early 2014 and was positive till Dec 2019, but has been negative ever since, driven by recent La Nina conditions. Tioga Pass/Pacific Crest Trail intersection forecast: Temps - Freeze Level
13 secondssubsiding to 9 ft at 12 seconds in the afternoon. Low odds of any meaningful swell resulting. The gale to dissipate from there. You can customize the wave and wind maps with overlays for wind arrows, pressure and general weather for surfing. The hi-res GODAS animation posted 2/17 indicates a Kelvin Wave pushing east with 2-3 degs warm anomalies with its eastern edge at 95W with only a tiny pocket of cool anomalies at -3 degs C 25 meters down and pushing to the surface at 95W while rapidly fading in coverage. Wind waves 2 ft or less. This system was gone after that. NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Ian - the nation's third most expensive weather disaster on record - is among 29 hurricanes, including 13 major hurricanes, churned out by the Atlantic from 2020 to 2022, or roughly 30% more than the average for a typical three-year span. A return to a more normal cadence of Active and Inactive MJO phases is starting now. Chance of showers. A series of southern hemi ground swells are being tracked from the 10th through the 17th. Temps had reached as high as +1.076 on 2/19 and were previously steady at +0.848 since 2/7. In the evening southwest winds were 50 kts solid over the Central South Pacific with 34 ft seas at 62S 166W aimed east-northeast. W wind 5 kt. At Santa Cruz surf was waist high or so on the sets and clean and soft. The Pacific-Ocean Weather Map below shows the weather forecast for the next 12 days. But then reconsolidating and poised to push weakly over California. (Note: These are 5 day average winds, versus realtime, so they lag what is happening today (by about 2.5 days). In the evening the gale is to be fading while lifting northeast off the Pacific Northwest with 40 kt west winds and seas 24 ft at 43N 140W aimed east. www.gidy.fr. In turn the Active Phase strengthens and the Inactive Phase weakens the jetstream, which in turn enhances or dampens storm production respectively in the Pacific.And the El Nino/La Nino cycle (collectively know as ENSO - El Nino Southern Oscillation) is a less frequent (about once every 7 years) but more impactful cycle that affects world wide weather. Overview
Forecast (2/24) - Temps are to fall to -1.35 degs in May only to rise some to -1.15 degs in the July and holding beyond. Swell During the Inactive Phase the jet stream tends to split resulting in high pressure and less potential for swell producing storm development. Subsurface Waters Temps
Best size for both of these swells will be Friday the 6th and Saturday the 7th. Unfortunately again, most mornings do look to start out with some onshore southerly wind. Temps previously rose to -0.402 on 2/23. Nino1.2 Daily CDAS Index Temps: (4/30) (These temps are biased high by about 0.2 degs compared to official sources). A full double dip La Nina pattern took hold as we moved into November with this second La Nina dip being nearly as strong as the previous one. Condition-wise: a showery week ahead with measurable rain some days; winds trend onshore until later in the week; tide levels are moderate; and water temps are fair. Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm LA was running 58-59 in most spots, but the usually-cooler Cabrillo reported 55 yesterday.
You can also get the latest temperature, weather and wind observations from actual weather stations under the live weather section. Cold water in that area has a dampening effect. And the El Nino/La Nino cycle (collectively know as ENSO - El Nino Southern Oscillation) is a less frequent (about once every 7 years) but more impactful cycle that affects world wide weather. More swell is looking likely out the back too, just nothing as big as what we are going to see this weekend. Sea temperatures vary from north to south, though not by much, with a high and low peaks of 23-29C or 73-84F. Also called 'Background' swell. This index is a lagging indicator but suggests that the Active Phase occurring now is starting to drive the index down, hopefully with no upward trend in sight for at least a year. Detailed Surf Reports, 16-day Surf Forecasts, Surf Photos, Live Winds, Tides and Weather | Swellnet Premium ad-free surfcams, dawn surf reports, forecaster notes, long range surf forecasts. Remember, this report is only made possible by donations from readers like you (see why), which ensures this report will be here when you need it. Early this morning, periods were primarily running 14 seconds from 190 and 13 seconds from 290. Gidy ( French pronunciation: [idi]) is a commune in the Loiret department in north-central France . afternoon. Chance 1 Kelvin Wave traversed the Pacific in Dec '22 with Kelvin Wave #2 in-flight and Kevin Wave #3 developing now. Hawaii's North Shore had sets at waist to chest high on the sets and clean and lined up but inconsistent and weak. US Dept of Commerce Coastal waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR out 10 nm Gidy (French pronunciation:[idi]) is a commune in the Loiret department in north-central France. Swell Direction:292-295 degrees. Just a minor mix of south swell and NW windswell expected. It's ion left hand column on every page on the site near the link to the swell calculator.
National Weather Service Marine Forecast FZUS56 KSEW Mon AM (2/28) the gale is to be just off British Columbia with 30-35 kt west winds and seas 25 ft at 47N 133W. Jetstream
The main swells in the water are going to be an overlapping pair of Southern Hemisphere swells, with the new one showing bigger sets late. Pacific-Ocean Surf Map - Wind and Wave forecasts Pacific-Ocean wave (swell) map for surfers, windsurfers and sailors showing open ocean wave size, wave period and wave energy. Chance of rain 20 percent. "Rpertoire national des lus: les maires", The National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Gidy&oldid=1063140933, Short description is different from Wikidata, Pages using infobox settlement with image map1 but not image map, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 1 January 2022, at 13:31. Temps to rise steadily from here forward to +0.711 degs in May rising to +1.149 in July and up to +1.269 degrees in Oct then fading from there. Jetstream patterns make surf forecasts more predictable, so even though that's a 210-hour model, confidence is fairly high that we'll see something out of it. SW wind 10 kt. Pretty similar size to Friday, but size may be a bit larger as that Southern Hemisphere tops out. 3 month forecast for 850 mb winds, MJO, Rossby etc, https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/climate-change-good-surfing-other-sports-not-so-much-ncna1017131, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luQSYf5sKjQ, http://www.bloomberg.com/video/how-to-predict-the-best-surfing-waves-EsNiR~0xR5yXGOlOq2MqfA.html, http://www.cbsnews.com/videos/surfs-up-for-mavericks-invitational-in-calif/. See it Here
Swell W 5 to 6 ft. FRI Alternatively, visit our basic swell maps of Pacific-Ocean where each view becomes a separate image. The East Shore was chest high and lightly chopped from moderate east trades. Swell W 8 to 9 ft at 10 seconds. West facing breaks should run waist to chest high. of showers through the day. On Sat AM (4/29) 40-45 kt northwest winds are forecast building well off the Pacific Northwest with seas 24 ft at 44.5N 142W aimed southeast. Wind waves 4 to 7 ft. chance of showers.
long range south pacific swell forecast - CleanWorld Thursday the 11th, so far, looks about chest+ at south facing spots, but NW wind swell is in question. Temps have been steadily increasing hitting 0.0 on 4/12 and were then more or less steady the previous 4 weeks. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. Select from the other forecast maps (on the right) to view the temperature, cloud cover, wind and precipitation for this country on a large scale with animation. On Sat AM (4/29) northwest winds were 30 kts just west of the dateline with seas 23 ft at 39.75N 172.75E aimed southeast. National Weather Service Medford, OR. Today (2/24) the daily index was negative at -0.96 after peaking at +27.33 on 1/31/22 and +46.71 on 12/26. Swell building Tues (5/2) into the mid-afternoon at 3.8 ft @ 14-15 secs (5.5 ft). TUE
U.S. Offshore Marine Text Forecasts by Zone - National Weather Service But by Feb 2023, the number of storm days, intensity and duration of those storms should start improving as La Nina fades out. NBC News - Climate Change and Surfing: https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/climate-change-good-surfing-other-sports-not-so-much-ncna1017131, Mavericks & Stormsurf on HBO Sports with Bryant Gumbel https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luQSYf5sKjQ, Pieces Featuring Stormsurf:
Swell fading Sun (2/27) from 5.6 ft @ 14-15 secs early (8.0 ft). This is not believable.
The High Seas Forecast for the South Pacific - National Weather Service Friday the 6th as a combo of both Southern Hemi and WNW groundswell build to a peak.
Mexico, Pacific Surf Reports and Surf Forecasts - Magicseaweed.com webmaster.ndbc@noaa.gov, Disclaimer Swell W 5 to 6 ft. FRI Elevation. The last remnants of La Nina are gone on the equator and a clear El Nino signal is building. CFSv2 Uncorrected Data
Horse-Drawn Carriage Tours. Southeast Pacific Gale
La Nina is solid but appears to be fading focused over the equatorial East Pacific. Significant: Winter - Swell 8 ft @ 14 secs or greater (11+ ft faces) for 8+ hours (greater than double overhead). Satellite Imagery
Swell is tracking north.
the afternoon, thenbecoming 2 ft or less. Weak warming set up over the equator with no cool waters present. South Central Pacific Gale
Looking at the long term record, it seems likely we are still in the Cool Phase of the PDO (La Nina 'like') with no signs of moving to the positive/warm phase (El Nino 'like'). NW wind 5 to 15 ktrising to 15 to 20 kt late The 26 degree isotherm has pushed the whole way across the Pacific and getting deeper with pockets of 28 degs temps on the surface. This is an upgrade from previous runs. Tonight: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Overview
Map overlays available for display: Pacific-Ocean Pressure, Wind, Wind+pressure, Pacific-Ocean Freezing level. Still it will take some time for the atmosphere to fully respond, resulting in a less than normal swell production forecast especially for Fall into early Winter 2022. Weak warming set up over the equator with no cool waters present. Prolonged and consecutive Active MJO Phases in the Pacific help support the formation of El Nino. Wind waves 3 to 6 ft. But by later in Jan or early Feb 2023 a return to a more normal pattern might take hold. waves 2 ft or less. They are to warm to -0.438 degrees in April, then rising to -0.026 degs in July and hovering near 0,0 degs after that. The 90 day average was rising slightly at +2.41 and has not been negative (yet) in a long time, after peaking at +14.63 on 2/20, +15.61 on 10/25 and +12.92 on 8/11 and that after peaking at +18.40 (7/2) beating it's previous peak of +16.86 (5/31), the highest in a year. Over the next 72 hours another gale developed in the South Central Pacific (see South Central Pacific Gale below) and swell from it is radiating northeast. sgi_tile=1;
Updated: Fri, 28-Apr-2023 08:53:54 UTC. 24. Wave forecast maps for Australia Bass Strait Bass Strait is a notorious stretch of water between Victoria and Tasmania. Swell NW 6 ft. NOAA declared La Nina dead. midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Swell W 7 to afternoon. Control the animation using the slide bar found beneath the weather map. Something to monitor. This run of E swell gets better before it eases, with some flukey winds to deal with. Most south facing spots were running waist to chest high. About Us 16. 12am 26th Apr 2023 (GMT) Swell Chart for California, South California, South Webcams View All 17th Street 36th St. Newport 54th St. Fetch fading in the evening from 35 kts with seas 24 ft at 42.5N 151.25W aimed east. In the evening 50-55 kt westerly winds are to be just west of the dateline with 38 ft seas at 44.5N 173.5E aimed east.
Wind waves 2 ft or less becoming 3 ft in It fell to -19.40 on 4/2. TUE NIGHT Overview: In 2019 warm equatorial waters were fading, and by August a tongue of cool water was tracking west on the equator from Ecuador over the Galapagos reaching to a point nearly south of Hawaii. That trough is to push east of the Southern CA swell window while fading on Sun (5/7). Eglise Notre Dame. Wind waves 2 ft or less On Thurs AM (4/27) a gale started building just over and just off the Kuril Islands producing 45 kt west winds and seas building from 20 ft at 44N 156E aimed east. Today: Sunny with isolated showers. The compact winds around the center may temper the size for other locations around the Pacific, but the storm's extra-long tail ensures there's a long run of swell. The GODAS animation is 1 week behind the TAO data but also is more detailed and accurately depicted since its satellite based. Subscribe to be notified:
NW wind 15 to 20 kteasing to 5 to 10 kt late in the And perhaps a stronger system to develop over the dateline Wed-Thurs (3/3) producing up to 39 ft seas aimed east. Swell fading Tues (5/9) from 1.4 ft @ 13-14 secs (1.5-2.0 ft). And Westerly Winds are fully established filling the KWGA and forecast filling the Pacific over the next month.
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