I applied his basic ideas in the euro campaign, in the 2004 North East referendum, in thinking through education reform and trying to get the Department for Education to do what I wanted, in the Brexit referendum, in solving the 2019 impasse, in No10, and to removing this PM since spring 2021. Welles dismissed the French auteur theory as not relevant to the old Hollywood where the producers called the shots, not the directors. Rosen on military innovation, very relevant to discussions on things like drones and AI in Ukraine. E.g Around 1848 nationalism was an elite opinion held by educated liberals who thought of liberalism and nationalism as naturally, and morally, connected, while uneducated peasants were, nationalistic. Fear and Loathing on the Campaign Trail 72, Hunter S Thompson. If you want to stop Trump in 2024 you should figure out what you could offer Plouffes wife to let him do it. While some lessons are specific to time/place (e.g how the Senate works in 1950) the most important lessons from all such books are quite abstract and common and I assume this will be true of these classics. It also corrects a lot of modern books that have reverted to the World War I was a terrible accident / railway timetables idea in fact crucial nodes in the Prussian deep state network were trying to force war in summer 1914 and to manipulate Wilhelm II into going along with their plans. Ciceros letters. Sun Tzu. Im reading this summer. I thought this was outstanding and every young person aspiring to be influential in politics should read it. Linked, Barabasi. , Gustave le Bon. Posted January 13, 2014 Source: Pexels There's a lot of hope today that playing mindless brain training games will make you. I really liked this classic but a lot was beyond me. But the storyteller makes this picture incredibly beautiful. I applied his basic ideas in the euro campaign, in the 2004 North East referendum, in thinking through education reform and trying to get the Department for Education to do what I wanted, in the Brexit referendum, in solving the 2019 impasse, in No10, and to removing this PM since spring 2021. , Leonard Susskind (2013). Why? The river was also burning. (If anyone knows if his remarkable secretary, Mrs. OLeary, left any records or an oral history please leave links below.). If we could predict events like the fall of the Berlin Wall better it would have huge value. Fascinating. Yes its striking that looking at my internet favourites for politics there are no UK-based political blogs/writers I regularly read. I know I should like Dickens, the Russians loved Dickens, but I just couldnt enjoy it, probably a school effect, and I should retry. A classic book on calculus / analysis designed for undergraduates. Richard Muller. A classic book on calculus / analysis designed for undergraduates. His Memoirs are fascinating and so is this biography by Duchne. Please leave errors and suggestions below, Ill tweak and add over time and notify of updates. A Boyd ally wrote about his time in the Pentagon dealing with the extreme nightmare of procurement. Follow Zvi. On typical problems dealing with statistics, Bayes Theory, and how to improve understanding of probability. For example: The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Classic text, university level. I put * next to 7 which is a guess at what people 100 years hence will find most interesting on this list. On the 50th anniversary Munger reflected on why his partnership with Buffett had been so successful and Buffetts personality. So a philosopher simultaneously prepared the ground for Hitler, deeply influenced todays Left, and personally hated Bismarck and anti-semites. The most interesting intelligent person writing on American politics who a) really knows a lot of history, b) understands the rationalists but is not of them, and c) whose version of regime change includes ending democracy, is Curtis Yarvin. I like reading stuff about people where incentives and feedback work, from used car salesmen to fortune tellers. Good Strategy, Bad Strategy by Rumelt. Thames Valley Police have confirmed that her corpse was discovered on Friday, April 21, just before midnight. Also see Nietzsche on the pre-Socratics. Interesting how some fields (e.g airlines, surgery) have significantly improved performance while others have not, and the barriers to improvement. Its crucial to remember both aspects of this genius-monster without whom probably no World War I, Lenin, Hitler etc summed up by Salisburys two comments: One misses the extraordinary penetration of the old man and he will do things of which it would be absurd to suspect any other statesman in Europe. Im reading this summer. One of the most critical lessons? Re George Mueller, the man who managed the Apollo program. On May 22, 2020, The Guardian and Daily Mirror newspapers in the UK published details of how Dominic Cummings, senior aide to the British prime minister, had broken lockdown rules by travelling 420 km to a family estate with his wife (who had suspected COVID-19) and child. I wish there was something similar on the history of the LMB at Cambridge, one of our crown jewels which Whitehall (and the VC office) has gradually buried with stupid regulation. Its fascinating both for getting hard things done and how to reform science funding. , Sipser (2005 edition). *Come and See ( , Russian). Skunk Works, Ben Rich. , one of the best movies ever made. Colonel John Boyds briefings are great. On expert decisions under pressure, like firemen. The truth is that they recognized themselves my enemies had nothing to do with its failure. He had promised to resign if there was any finding against and kept his word. khloe kardashian hidden hills house address. Dominic Cummings Judea Pearl is one of the most important scholars in the field of causal reasoning. Professor Sides Dominic Cummings Nov 22, 2022 59 134 Ask Me Anything Monday 28 November, 1900-2100 Dominic Cummings Nov 21, 2022 57 310 The smartest person Einstein said he knew wrote one of the first things on existential risk. , George Dyson (son of Freeman). And a very recent post. Many interesting developments and the launch of the 2024 campaign may be only a few weeks away, if Trump announces on 4 July as is being discussed in Mar-a-Lago. Two adjacent questions: 1) what signals of memes/news predict that X is likely to emerge from the noise and become one of the few stories/memes thats significant e.g the process of the Wall falling has started with small events which are detectable but almost nobody notices or realises what a big deal they will be in a few weeks, how soon can we, X is Y% likely to be a big story, with what confidence? I started like everyone young assuming those at the top of politics must be smart, interested in policy and great at organising things. Predictions on AGI can be Straussian. A widely praised new biography of John von Neumann, the man Einstein, Bohr, Dirac, Pauli et al thought was the smartest person they knew. Again the meta-lesson: the media often obsesses with specific horrific stories which for a few days absorb SW1 attention, but there is no interest in actually solving the institutional problems and the institutions will successfully resist change during a media panic then go back to business as usual. If interested in how a government could take seriously, , follow these debates. The best book about Gdels Theorem (according to the editor of Gdels Collected Works) which explains why almost everything one reads about it including by some famous scientists (e.g. E.g rapidly speeding up construction/housing/infrastructure, how to accelerate scientific discovery and technological development. It amazes me how many scientists and economists know nothing or almost nothing about it. Alls Fair, Carville & Matalin. How Roger Ailes packaged Nixon with actual campaign memos reproduced at the back. LAncien Rgime et la Rvolution, de Tocqueville. Ive only read a few excerpts of these but reading them all is a project for later this year. Start trial Already a paid subscriber? It is by far the best insider book Ive read on modern UK politics and the only one that realistically and honestly faces a) the failures of MPs as managers and systems thinkers, and b) the failures of the civil service. Cited by many professional mathematicians as an inspiration. is extraordinary, e.g his secret search for the truth about Leibniz. Psychologie des foules, Gustave le Bon. ; 2) how to map the spread of memes and identify critical nodes in the network that, if influenced somehow, can amplify or dampen signals? All ideas welcome. At every session I attended I could feel the unanimous disapproval of the audience.), Risky Business (Sometimes you just gotta say, what the fuck, make your move, what the fuck brings freedom, freedom brings opportunity, opportunity makes your future), War and Peace (the 1960s Russian TV series is really an epic movie), Whos Afraid of Virginia Wolf (Burton & Taylor). A short companion book to his famous lecture series. (on maths, logic, P=NP, computational complexity), (in general, and if interested in extreme talent Steve blogs a lot on this), The most interesting intelligent person writing on American politics who a) really knows a lot of history, b) understands the rationalists but is not of them, and c) whose version of regime change includes ending democracy, is. , Franzen. If we could predict events like the fall of the Berlin Wall better it would have huge value. ): how much was the effectiveness bound up with the dangerousness the failure of alignment and/or the inherent drive of high intelligence to escape constraints/control/alignment with others goals? An inspiration for changes to maths teaching I pushed in 2011-14, including trying to get a maths for Presidents course going. For us its often seen as high level political philosophy but it was bashed out by Hamilton et al as part of a brutal political struggle including many dirty tricks on both sides. ), here are some books and a few papers I recommend. , Hardy. Also the club of those who write about UK politics a) are rarely interested in how power really works, b) are almost never interested in management, how to get hard things done, or how organisations work, c) think theyre an expert on communication but are not a general problem for hacks who confuse understanding journalism with understanding communication. , Klein. People who climb to the top of the science system tend to defend the system rather than support change, even when they realise how bad it is. An inspiration for changes to maths teaching I pushed in 2011-14, including trying to get a maths for Presidents course going. Ive written blogs on some other important books: Paynes recent books on nuclear weapons. A scholarly history of maths, not for a general reader. If youre involved in Isaac Physics and want to discuss how it could continue please get in touch.). E.g Introduction to Strategic History, Modern Strategy, Strategy and Defence Planning (reading now). Dominic Cummings's Odyssean reading list might make you smarter. Vast amounts of what you read on this is rubbish. . I think hes right that most academics assume models for how this works that are clearly not how people really think under pressure. de Tocqueville. I was amazed and desperate. by Lee Kuan Yew. I advised spads and officials to read this in 2019 and ignore the media. Most economists cant synthesise worth a damn. In the meantime Ill post another tomorrow. (Ive recently read some of the media commentary about 2019 that I ignored at the time and its amazing how many hacks thought I was trying to use vNs game theory. Aug 25, 2022. One of Britains most senior and respected civil servants, Michael Quinlan, wrote this paper after retiring. (I spent ~2 years reading a lot of books on this ~2005-15. Steve Jobs advised Obama to do the same but it didnt happen. Their favourite argument is the laughable its a small island, about as sensible as a general saying Alexander the Great was using cavalry so its out of date. . (Dostoyevsky was Nietzsches favourite novellist! The best biography in English (probably any language) is, . Pentagon Wars, Burton. Reading List Dominic Cummings Jun 26, 2022 80 This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Dominic Cummings substack Subscribe to view Keep reading with a 7-day free trial Subscribe to Dominic Cummings substack to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. The difficulty comes from the fact its psychologically very hard to stick to and almost all bureaucracies operate with incentives and culture that push in opposite directions. I was amazed and desperate. Dominic Cummings, a special adviser to UK education minister Michael Gove, discusses technological advances (quantum computing, 3D printing, energetics etc. Governments find it very, very hard to fund such ventures. Why it's in AOC's interests to challenge Old Joe. Thinking, fast and slow, Kahneman. No doubt about that Nietzsche produced the climate in which Fascism and Hitlerism could emerge. Ive written a few things about his work. A good biography of Dirac, The Strangest Man, Farmelo. , Dantzig (1930, updated 1953; new edition 2007). The media laughed and many said its so boring. Richard Feynman was a giant of theoretical physics who famously defined science as "the belief in the ignorance of experts". Remember that approxmitately no MPs and few in Congress are aware of these facts or ideas yet they speculate confidently about Putins thinking on nuclear weapons. Someone should run a prize for the best 10,000 word essay summarising the fundamental lessons of this book (which I havent read in full, just skimmed, because of time not a judgement). Mathematics for the Nonmathematician, Morris Kline. Apr 18. The insider account of the Manhattan Project by its legendary leader. On typical problems dealing with statistics, Bayes Theory, and how to improve understanding of probability. Also cf. If youre thinking of doing a startup or just curious about how to do hard things you should read Paul Grahams essays. Elite opinion in London today is dominated by very similar people with very similar education and very similar views that inevitably include assumptions that will prove false like the British navy rules the waves (true and a useful heuristic for many decades then suddenly and drastically not true) and values that will seem evil/comical. The Theory of Moral Sentiments, Adam Smith. (I used this to argue for checklists and transparency over the repeated failures of social services with child abuse when in the Department for Education 2011-14. You often read versions of those really at the edge of this research do not predict fast timetables. , Charlie Munger. that will prove false like the British navy rules the waves (true and a useful heuristic for many decades then suddenly and drastically not true) and values that will seem evil/comical. Perhaps America has elections every four years, power supply is ~100% reliable in the First World, Europe wont see millions killed in wars again, nobody lives happily/normally to 200, robots cant escape control and kill vast numbers of humans, children should study curricula controlled by the state, I support policies that undermine traditional ideas about the family will seem as quaint in 2052 as Bertrand Russell being taught by a grandfather whod met Napoleon that British naval dominance is a fact of life. Dominic Cummings has hit back at Boris Johnson's partygate defence, accusing him of spreading "further misinformation". 406. Nelson, biography by John Sugden. Am told that the Loebs translated by Shackleton Bailey is the best translation. The peacetime bureaucracy knew what it valued. A striking thing: notice how. , Beinhocker. A classic book on mathematical problem solving. This excellent short book introduces quantum mechanics using A Level maths. Again the meta-lesson: while everybody wants to know what are they investing in? almost nobody pays any attention to how do they organise Berkshire, why is it so different, how does this relate to extreme performance?. A striking thing: notice how they take regulation and speed extremely seriously because they have direct experience of it, in contrast to most professional economists who influence media debate on regulation who have no idea of how government really works and how destructive it is to make simple things take years, how it drives people away, rewards the worst people and companies etc. On dynamic tools, interface design, Seeing Rooms, new ideas about programming, tools for thought, and so on, read Bret Victor, a rare genius. If you get into it you have no right to be bitter, youre the one who sat down and joined the game People who dont succeed, people whove had long bad times like Renoir Renoir was the best director ever are people who didnt want to make the kind of pictures that producers want to make. , Professor Mark Warner. I blogged a series on this great book starting here; if you only read one of these blogs make it this one on the most important issue, great people (NB. By Andy Hayes, news reporter Thursday 27 May 2021 06:28, UK Matt Hancock, Boris Johnson, Carrie Symonds and even Dilyn the dog have been the focus of numerous explosive claims from Dominic Cummings Ive read at least some of (almost) all of them and (almost) all of most titles I refer to (not all the textbooks). If interested in how a government could take seriously accelerating progress, follow these debates. Theres no question about this. His Art of Doing Science and Engineering is considered a classic but Ive not read. Popular intro to network theory. , Polya. I should have read this, havent, will. This is not true of blogs like Marginal Revolution. If you want to understand the modern intellectual classes media, academia and politics this plugs you straight into their psychology. If you havent read it dont read another modern book until you have. Will live players use the next five months to build build build or waste the most important element in conflict, time, and let non-player characters stumble into a set of critical decisions in November? Essential companion (and very much ignored by most Americans) to The Federalist Papers - the so-called Anti-Federalist Papers (AFP): http://resources.utulsa.edu/law/classes/rice/Constitutional/AntiFederalist/antifed.htm, https://history.nycourts.gov/about_period/antifederalist-papers/, Re Monnet ~ https://thecritic.co.uk/issues/october-2020/the-eu-godfathers-wall-street-roots/ and Draghi ~ https://thecritic.co.uk/issues/may-2021/the-sphinx-who-reshaped-europe/, This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Book accompanying an OU course. Also though, everybody has bad luck and those who survive long enough to get good luck are very perseverant. This is the Newton biography and its brilliantly done with intense love and care for its extraordinary subject. Anybody who goes to Hollywood can see right away what the setup is Hollywood is Hollywood, theres nothing you can say about it that isnt true, good or bad. was the fundamental reason I think Brexit is the right idea and the EU is doomed to fail in important ways. but most do not realise the last chapter is about Nietzsche and the Last Man, and this chapter is the most relevant today. Vernon Smith, economics Nobel-winner, argues that TOMS provides a better basis for economic models and prediction than modern neoclassical economics. Dynamics of 2024. . Zvi reviews Tyler Cowens new book, Talent. On digital fabrication. As the craziness of 2024 approaches his ideas will be much more influential in some circles than you will realise from the media. Many interesting developments and the launch of the 2024 campaign may be only a few weeks away, if Trump announces on 4 July as is being discussed in Mar-a-Lago. Looks at the bigshots of modern military thinking. I was not. I know some of them. ), Notes from the Underground, Dostoyevsky. Something on how ideas change over different time scales. The difficulty comes from the fact its psychologically very hard to stick to and almost all bureaucracies operate with incentives and culture that push in opposite directions. ), genetics, expert judgement, finance and many other topics with the focus on how education policy has to cope in order to train problem solvers for the coming challenges. You and your research, Hamming. A billionaire should provide copies to all elected politicians. Cummings' understanding of modern genetics, IQ, evolutionary psychology, child development and neuroscience, as evidenced by his blog and advice to Michael Gove when education minister, is a. Dominic Cummings's Odyssean reading list might make you smarter. Six months later tens of thousands died for the lack of such skills. Pflouffe ran the Obama 08 campaign and 2012 re-election. If youre thinking of doing a startup or just curious about how to do hard things you should read. If one could observe a discussion between Bismarck and one politician from the 20th Century, he might be the most interesting choice. Youll understand more of how SW1 really works than from all PM memoirs of the last 30 years combined (PMs never face why they dont control much of Whitehall even after theyve gone). He understood politics and government in a way I think almost nobody in 20th Century politics did and influenced it more than almost any elected leader. If you want to understand modern culture, the 19th Century smashup of the traditional world with the capitalist, liberal and increasingly atheist world, and what deep forces lie behind the ideas we see all around us, its the best book. Rohls multivolume biography on Wilhelm II is brilliant and, like Pflanze, a whole political education in itself. , Gigerenzer. Elite opinion in London today is dominated by very similar people with very similar education and very similar views that inevitably include. How to predict news? Mathematics: Its content, methods and meaning, Kolmogorov et al. Twitter Web App Retweets This Tweet was deleted by the Tweet author. Classic on teaching children programming, recommended by Alan Kay and Bret Victor. A widely praised new biography of John von Neumann, the man Einstein, Bohr, Dirac, Pauli et al thought was the smartest person they knew. (NB. If hed run the Hillary campaign in 2016, no Trump as President. In the search I came across Boyd. ), The foundational crisis of mathematics, set theory, Hilbert, Godel, and Turing. If you really are interested in policy and how someone tries to bring principles of high performance to government, this is essential. A good biography of Einstein by Isaacson. We can now test fertilised eggs for common risk factors such as mental disorders and heart attacks and. Non-fiction books on politics fail to give you this crucial sense. E.g Around 1848 nationalism was an elite opinion held by educated liberals who thought of liberalism and nationalism as naturally, and morally, connected, while uneducated peasants were less nationalistic. (If anyone knows if his remarkable secretary, Mrs. OLeary, left any records or an oral history please leave links below. Viz the famous lists, Yes to Renoir, Welles, Chaplin, Keaton, No to Fellini (tried to watch 8 1/2 at least five times and fallen asleep fast every time) and Hitchcock. Ive written a few things about his work. Sign in On connections between quantum physics, computation and information theory. (I knew Mark, a professor at Cambridge, who spent a huge amount of time over the past decade helping state school pupils get hold of great physics material via Isaac Physics. , John Allen Paulos (1988). by Rumelt. Update to Trump v Biden blog of last September. If hed run the Hillary campaign in 2016, no Trump as President. LKY, Boyd, Groves all say the same). If youre in Georgia, visit her house in Milledgeville. Much (mis)quoted, rarely read. On connections between quantum physics, computation and information theory. I searched for explanations. Dominic Cummings Like with ARPA-PARC its fascinating to see how funders ignore such successful examples. I'm working on a Reading List as requested by many, coming in the next 2-3 weeks He did not try to influence todays arguments but instead tried to prepare the future, an approach of great power partly because, as Monnet said, theres almost no competition. The story of Turing, von Neumann and the computer. , Burton. The more I study the more clear it is that luck plays a crucial part in almost all famous successes. , Gowers. His book 'Causality' is the leading textbook in the field. A history of the amazing Bell Labs which famously won more Nobels than most EU countries. His point about the fundamental importance of error-correction in political institutions was the fundamental reason I think Brexit is the right idea and the EU is doomed to fail in important ways. He replied to Yudkowskys AGI ruin here as did Paul Christiano here. Dominic Cummings Based on a course Susskind taught in San Francisco to give people a basic physics education. Something on how ideas change over different time scales. The Dominic Cummings guide to management Boris Johnson's adviser plans to put business leaders' strategies into practice Andrew Hill Dominic Cummings, the prime minister's senior adviser, has. Please post questions below. I like reading stuff about people where incentives and feedback work, from used car salesmen to fortune tellers. The best biography in English (probably any language) is Otto Pflanzes three volumes. Almost no MPs, journalists or academics have any idea about just how costly such bureaucracy truly is or how these bureaucracies truly work and the criminality and near-insanity theyre capable of. In War and Peace, you see a world historical genius skip between vast scales of time and space, connecting tiny things happening this moment to the biggest things affecting decades or centuries to come. The politicians soon are on the next current thing too. My essay on an 'Odyssean' Education - Dominic Cummings's Blog My essay on an 'Odyssean' Education On the evening of Friday 11 October 2013, the Guardian published a draft essay of mine - ' Some thoughts on education and political priorities ' (links here and here ). Perhaps America has elections every four years, power supply is ~100% reliable in the First World, Europe wont see millions killed in wars again, nobody lives happily/normally to 200, robots cant escape control and kill vast numbers of humans, children should study curricula controlled by the state, I support policies that undermine traditional ideas about the family will seem as quaint in 2052 as Bertrand Russell being taught by a grandfather whod met Napoleon that British naval dominance is a fact of life.
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